GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Banesignature
Miposhka · 33 games
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 19 games
Iosignature
Mira · 14 games
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 13 games
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 26 games
Banesignature
Skem · 18 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 18 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 16 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 16 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 365 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 571 bans
Mars
431 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
420 picks · 705 bans
Kunkka
354 picks · 536 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 160 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 74%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:28
Team Spirit 50%BOOM Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingYatoro
RazorJaCkky
Ember SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
KunkkaYopaj
Dark SeerCollapse
TidehunterFbz
EnchantressRodjER
WeaverSkem
IoMiposhka
MiranaTims
Game 2prediction missed12:26
Team Spirit 51%BOOM Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinYatoro
Wraith KingJaCkky
DoomCollapse
Ember SpiritYopaj
Dragon KnightTORONTOTOKYO
ViperFbz
EnchantressRodjER
TidehunterTims
DisruptorMiposhka
WeaverSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 52%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2