GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Secretloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 25 games
Banesignature
Skem · 18 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 18 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 16 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Team Secret
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 12 games
Iooften banned
Puppey · 10 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
YapzOr · 9 games
Rubick
YapzOr · 9 games
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
Tinysignature
MATUMBAMAN · 8 games
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 7 games
Magnussignature
zai · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
542 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 571 bans
Mars
433 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 709 bans
Kunkka
352 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 570 bans
Snapfire
327 picks · 161 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:27
BOOM Esports 64%Team Secret 36%
The model gave 64% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:00:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaYopaj
Storm SpiritSumaiL
PangolierFbz
Ember SpiritNisha
RikiJaCkky
Outworld Destroyericeiceice
Death ProphetSkem
TinyYapzOr
MiranaTims
JakiroPuppey
Game 2prediction correct34:12
BOOM Esports 60%Team Secret 40%
The model gave 60% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 24:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
Anti-MageNisha
KunkkaYopaj
Linaiceiceice
Sand KingFbz
MarsSumaiL
HoodwinkTims
TinyYapzOr
Death ProphetSkem
LichPuppey
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 72%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2