Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RFRed flowerloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Red flower
Abaddon
sheep · 2 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Killa · 2 games
Spectreoften banned
doodle · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
doodle · 1 game
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
doodle · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
542 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 571 bans
Mars
433 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 709 bans
Kunkka
352 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 570 bans
Snapfire
327 picks · 161 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Red flower
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 54%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect