Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Mad Kingsloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mad Kings
Marssignature
Frank · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 4 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Ravens
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 361 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 567 bans
Mars
436 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
415 picks · 713 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
330 picks · 160 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 75%
Hero pool strength61% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 70%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictioncorrect