?
arrow_backBack to match
GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 1:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Spiritwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Taiga · 15 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 14 games
29%
Bane
Bane
Misha · 11 games
55%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Clinkz
Clinkz
SumaiL · 9 games
56%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 9 games
44%
Io
Iooften banned
Ceb · 9 games
44%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
78%

Team Spirit

Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 30 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
68%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 18 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 13 games
69%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
77%
Io
Iosignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
537 picks · 362 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 568 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
438 picks · 591 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
414 picks · 715 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
349 picks · 535 bans
52%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 569 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
332 picks · 160 bans
47%
Wraith King
Wraith King
277 picks · 358 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 74%
Hero pool strength61% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total75% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:26
OG 34%Team Spirit 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyYuragi
54% · 202 games54% · 114 games
UrsaYatoro
Ursa
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
49% · 213 games43% · 154 games
KunkkaTORONTOTOKYO
Kunkka
Batrider
Batriderbzm
48% · 122 games47% · 371 game
MarsCollapse
Mars
Lion
LionChuvash
48% · 374 games50% · 146 games
IoRodjER
Io
Omniknight
OmniknightTaiga
50% · 25 games58% · 151 game
BaneMiposhka
Bane
Game 2prediction missed37:29
OG 34%Team Spirit 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 56:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYuragi
48% · 69 games51% · 27 games
Anti-MageYatoro
Anti-Mage
Invoker
Invokerbzm
51% · 210 games56% · 136 games
KunkkaTORONTOTOKYO
Kunkka
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
41% · 127 games47% · 63 games
MagnusCollapse
Magnus
Enigma
EnigmaTaiga
51% · 21 game58% · 141 game
MiranaRodjER
Mirana
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonChuvash
41% · 118 games56% · 178 games
BaneMiposhka
Bane
Game 3prediction correct14:27
OG 33%Team Spirit 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYuragi
46% · 102 games53% · 178 games
Monkey KingYatoro
Monkey King
Invoker
Invokerbzm
49% · 244 games53% · 158 games
Ember SpiritTORONTOTOKYO
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterATF
53% · 267 games50% · 95 games
Sand KingCollapse
Sand King
Omniknight
OmniknightTaiga
45% · 33 games54% · 211 games
BaneMiposhka
Bane
Dark Willow
Dark WillowChuvash
45% · 150 games52% · 154 games
IoRodjER
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 75%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3