Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FFromBwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVY
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 6 games
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Razoroften banned
TheBloodySky · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Tiny
Mo13ei · 5 games
FromB
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 569 bans
Mars
440 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
417 picks · 716 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 164 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 358 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% FromB
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% FromB
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteFromB · 69%
Series resultFromB 0:2
Series predictioncorrect