BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavawin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 364 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 572 bans
Mars
442 picks · 595 bans
Weaver
419 picks · 719 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 166 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 59%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:29
Lava 39%Infamous 61%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 30:01.
Game 2prediction correct20:31
Lava 39%Infamous 61%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 32:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 61%
Series resultLava 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2