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BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilgunwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lilgun

No games played over 6 months.

Yangon Galacticos

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 11 games
45%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Young PH · 8 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 8 games
75%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
25%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
538 picks · 362 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
475 picks · 571 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
438 picks · 593 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
417 picks · 724 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
348 picks · 541 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 163 bans
47%
Wraith King
Wraith King
280 picks · 354 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:42
Lilgun 63%Yangon Galacticos 37%
The model gave 63% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 39:08.
Game 2prediction missed36:23
Lilgun 63%Yangon Galacticos 37%
The model gave 63% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 45:09.
Game 3prediction missed16:47
Lilgun 63%Yangon Galacticos 37%
The model gave 63% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 33:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 63%
Series resultLilgun 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3