BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
King Of Kingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 574 bans
Mars
438 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 726 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
332 picks · 164 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 32%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:17
Wildcard Gaming 55%King Of Kings 45%
The model gave 55% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 33:39.
Game 2prediction missed25:33
Wildcard Gaming 55%King Of Kings 45%
The model gave 55% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 33:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 55%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2