BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 575 bans
Mars
438 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 728 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 165 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:7
4 Zoomers 72%Team DogChamp 28%
The model gave 72% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 20:31.
Game 2prediction correct26:3
4 Zoomers 72%Team DogChamp 28%
The model gave 72% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 16:07.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 72%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2