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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 30 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
68%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 18 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
71%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
77%
Io
Iosignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 12 games
67%

Nigma Galaxy

Bane
Banesignature
KuroKy · 7 games
71%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
17%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
iLTW · 5 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
iLTW · 5 games
80%
Rubick
Rubick
GH · 5 games
20%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
GH · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Miracle- · 4 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Miracle- · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 577 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 595 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
419 picks · 733 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
350 picks · 542 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
336 picks · 168 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
280 picks · 355 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 47%
Hero pool strength63% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:25
Team Spirit 66%Nigma Galaxy 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 41:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYatoro
56% · 187 games32% · 23 games
Chaos KnightiLTW
Chaos Knight
Death Prophet
Death ProphetTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 180 games47% · 188 games
LinaMiracle-
Lina
Magnus
MagnusCollapse
54% · 83 games48% · 172 games
TidehunterMinD_ContRoL
Tidehunter
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMiposhka
52% · 93 games46% · 114 games
IoGH
Io
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanRodjER
56% · 45 games50% · 91 game
DisruptorKuroKy
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 76%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1