GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Fnaticloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Banesignature
Fata · 16 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Skiter · 13 games
Gyrocopter
Fata · 11 games
Queen of Painsignature
Nine · 11 games
Doomsignature
33 · 10 games
Spirit Breakersignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Weaversignature
Sneyking · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
33 · 8 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 577 bans
Mars
440 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 733 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 541 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 168 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:17
Tundra Esports 65%Fnatic 35%
The model gave 65% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 36:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 65%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1