GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Secretloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Snapfire
Taiga · 14 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 12 games
Bane
Misha · 11 games
Clinkz
SumaiL · 9 games
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
bzm · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Taiga · 8 games
Team Secret
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 11 games
Iooften banned
Puppey · 10 games
Rubick
YapzOr · 9 games
Monkey Kingsignature
YapzOr · 8 games
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 7 games
Magnussignature
zai · 7 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
YapzOr · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
543 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 577 bans
Mars
440 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 735 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Secret
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total54% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:27
OG 50%Team Secret 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Secret — the game was taken by OG in 47:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingYuragi
Troll WarlordNisha
Invokerbzm
LeshracSumaiL
SlardarATF
Pangoliericeiceice
EnchantressTaiga
MiranaYapzOr
SnapfireChuvash
OmniknightPuppey
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 54%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1