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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BOOM Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
AlaCrity · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 4 games
50%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Meracle · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Poloson · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Meracle · 4 games
75%

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 24 games
71%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skem · 17 games
88%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 14 games
64%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
79%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
79%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
85%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 13 games
85%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
542 picks · 363 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
475 picks · 577 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 592 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
416 picks · 734 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
348 picks · 539 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 73%
Hero pool strength60% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total76% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:34
Nigma Galaxy SEA 24%BOOM Esports 76%
The model gave 76% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 39:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 76%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1