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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TSMloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 30 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
72%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 17 games
65%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
71%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 12 games
67%
Io
Iosignature
Mira · 11 games
64%

TSM

Bane
Bane
DuBu · 15 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
bryle- · 10 games
60%
Weaver
Weaversignature
MoonMeander · 10 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
MoonMeander · 7 games
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MoonMeander · 7 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Timado · 7 games
86%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SabeRLight- · 7 games
43%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
SabeRLight- · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
542 picks · 362 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 576 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
439 picks · 591 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
416 picks · 734 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
348 picks · 539 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:14
Team Spirit 55%TSM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 32:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageYatoro
50% · 48 games54% · 166 games
TinyTimado
Tiny
Invoker
InvokerTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 149 games43% · 279 games
Queen of Painbryle-
Queen of Pain
Mars
MarsCollapse
51% · 366 games49% · 50 games
VenomancerSabeRLight-
Venomancer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMiposhka
51% · 136 games50% · 141 game
Earth SpiritMoonMeander
Earth Spirit
Io
IoRodjER
50% · 152 games51% · 215 games
Death ProphetDuBu
Death Prophet
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 60%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1