GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nigma Galaxywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Nigma Galaxy
Banesignature
KuroKy · 7 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
iLTW · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
iLTW · 5 games
Rubick
GH · 5 games
Linaoften banned
Miracle- · 4 games
Lunaoften banned
iLTW · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
KuroKy · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
542 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 576 bans
Mars
439 picks · 591 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 734 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:30
Fnatic 62%Nigma Galaxy 38%
The model gave 62% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 39:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 62%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1