BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO1
result vs prediction
T1win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 21 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Q · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 576 bans
Mars
439 picks · 589 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 734 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 20%
Hero pool strength51% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total79% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:43
T1 79%Motivate.Trust Gaming 21%
The model gave 79% on T1 — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 55:01.
Game 2prediction missed18:4
T1 79%Motivate.Trust Gaming 21%
The model gave 79% on T1 — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 20:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 79%
Series resultT1 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2