GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 24 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 16 games
Banesignature
Skem · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
Team Secret
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 11 games
Iooften banned
Puppey · 9 games
Monkey Kingsignature
YapzOr · 8 games
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
Rubick
YapzOr · 8 games
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 7 games
Magnussignature
zai · 7 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
YapzOr · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 575 bans
Mars
438 picks · 588 bans
Weaver
415 picks · 734 bans
Kunkka
347 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:7
BOOM Esports 65%Team Secret 35%
The model gave 65% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaJaCkky
TinyNisha
Templar AssassinYopaj
PuckSumaiL
MarsFbz
Centaur Warrunnericeiceice
MiranaTims
RubickYapzOr
WeaverSkem
IoPuppey
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 71%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1