Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Mad Kingswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inverseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mad Kings
Marssignature
Leostyle · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
MoOz · 4 games
Axeoften banned
Frank · 3 games
Inverse
Gyrocopter
Adrx · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Slaw · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Migi · 4 games
Hoodwink
MonHty · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Migi · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Adrx · 3 games
Axeoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
ArzenT · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
548 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 569 bans
Mars
442 picks · 591 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 742 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
340 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 27%
Hero pool strength67% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Inverse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInverse · 50%
Series resultMad Kings 2:0
Series predictionmissed