Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GOGen of Miracleswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Bounty Hunter
Grimstroke
Nikolica · 3 games
Marsoften banned
BliNcc · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Yellow Flash · 2 games
Snapfire
dEsire · 2 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Ekki · 2 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
kAAN · 2 games
Bane
Flash · 1 game
Bloodseekeroften banned
BliNcc · 1 game
Gen of Miracles
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 571 bans
Mars
442 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 744 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
342 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Gen of Miracles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Gen of Miracles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteGen of Miracles · 60%
Series resultGen of Miracles 0:1
Series predictioncorrect