Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 3 games
Rubick
Fezor · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Grimstroke
Fezor · 2 games
Riki
Shigetsu · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Tiny
Shigetsu · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 367 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 571 bans
Mars
441 picks · 590 bans
Weaver
417 picks · 744 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 538 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
342 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:40
Gambit Esports 74%cybercats 26%
The model gave 74% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 42:49.
Game 2prediction missed20:47
Gambit Esports 74%cybercats 26%
The model gave 74% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 32:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 74%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2