BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Lavawin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Keeper of the Light
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
552 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
479 picks · 575 bans
Mars
445 picks · 595 bans
Weaver
420 picks · 751 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 541 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 176 bans
Spirit Breaker
346 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 62%
Series resultLava 2:0
Series predictioncorrect