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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 73 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 55 games
53%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 48 games
54%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 44 games
68%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 41 game
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 39 games
72%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 38 games
66%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
74%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 47 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Kataomi · 31 game
58%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 24 games
54%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 22 games
77%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
628 picks · 992 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
529 picks · 439 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
455 picks · 635 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 491 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
450 picks · 1054 bans
56%
Warlock
Warlock
440 picks · 280 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
420 picks · 581 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
418 picks · 508 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% MOUZ
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:28
MOUZ 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracMidOne
54% · 241 game50% · 304 games
GyrocopterKiritych
Gyrocopter
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCrystallis
50% · 499 games46% · 379 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsBOOM
54% · 384 games50% · 72 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Phoenix
Phoenixyamich
51% · 214 games45% · 182 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
55% · 143 games47% · 544 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct18:33
MOUZ 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendCrystallis
58% · 272 games43% · 272 games
WindrangerKiritych
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMidOne
53% · 386 games48% · 80 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Slardar
SlardarBOOM
47% · 314 games48% · 432 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Warlock
WarlockSeleri
48% · 422 games51% · 319 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Marci
Marciyamich
55% · 275 games48% · 566 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2