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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Sorrywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 23 games
65%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 20 games
20%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 19 games
47%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 18 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Alexxo · 18 games
22%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 3 games
33%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 3 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Worick · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
556 picks · 373 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
485 picks · 584 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
451 picks · 611 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
427 picks · 773 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
364 picks · 180 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
355 picks · 548 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
347 picks · 575 bans
53%
Wraith King
Wraith King
288 picks · 355 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)16% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:29
B8 Esports 47%No Sorry 53%
The model gave 53% on No Sorry — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 40:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinyv1olent-
52% · 105 games51% · 74 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetDendi
50% · 126 games47% · 221 game
MarsLastHero-
Mars
Magnus
MagnuspJonn
49% · 80 games51% · 16 games
OmniknightBLACKARXANGEL
Omniknight
little data
Techiesy0nd
Techies
Game 2prediction correct20:29
B8 Esports 46%No Sorry 54%
The model gave 54% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 35:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightv1olent-
42% · 31 game45% · 77 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Necrophos
NecrophospJonn
56% · 37 games63% · 56 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDendi
48% · 185 games47% · 42 games
Dark Willowy0nd
Dark Willow
53% · 78 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Game 3prediction correct38:42
B8 Esports 48%No Sorry 52%
The model gave 52% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 57:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinyv1olent-
51% · 81 game51% · 102 games
InvokerWorick
Invoker
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainDendi
55% · 139 games45% · 57 games
Legion CommanderLastHero-
Legion Commander
Magnus
MagnuspJonn
53% · 57 games48% · 99 games
Dark Willowy0nd
Dark Willow
43% · 19 games
OmniknightBLACKARXANGEL
Omniknight
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 57%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3