Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO1
result vs prediction
Blue pikachuloss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
DDARWASHANwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
No games played over 6 months.
DARWASHAN
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 371 bans
Queen of Pain
483 picks · 579 bans
Mars
451 picks · 611 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 779 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 181 bans
Kunkka
352 picks · 551 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 578 bans
Wraith King
290 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Blue pikachu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Blue pikachu
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue pikachu · 50%
Series resultDARWASHAN 0:1
Series predictionmissed