BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marssignature
DarkMago · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 13 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 11 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Pakazs · 8 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 7 games
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
553 picks · 371 bans
Queen of Pain
483 picks · 579 bans
Mars
450 picks · 608 bans
Weaver
426 picks · 779 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 551 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 578 bans
Wraith King
290 picks · 351 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:8
Thunder Awaken 83%Wildcard Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 28:49.
Game 2prediction correct47:16
Thunder Awaken 83%Wildcard Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 27:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 83%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2