Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Wisla Krakowwin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eSport Rhein-Neckarloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
eSport Rhein-Neckar
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
550 picks · 371 bans
Queen of Pain
482 picks · 580 bans
Mars
449 picks · 605 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 577 bans
Wraith King
289 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Wisla Krakow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% eSport Rhein-Neckar
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:40
Wisla Krakow 46%eSport Rhein-Neckar 54%
The model gave 54% on eSport Rhein-Neckar — the game was taken by eSport Rhein-Neckar in 23:42.
Game 2prediction correct41:26
Wisla Krakow 46%eSport Rhein-Neckar 54%
The model gave 54% on eSport Rhein-Neckar — the game was taken by eSport Rhein-Neckar in 29:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteeSport Rhein-Neckar · 54%
Series resultWisla Krakow 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2