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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
X3loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 2 games
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
DarkLord^ · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jesv · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
dSa · 1 game
100%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 1 game
0%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
100%

X3

Bane
Bane
Kidaro · 8 games
13%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
38%
Lina
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 5 games
20%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
40%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Antares · 5 games
20%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
75%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kidaro · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
549 picks · 369 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
481 picks · 578 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
448 picks · 604 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
425 picks · 776 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
287 picks · 348 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:15
YNT 58%X3 42%
The model gave 58% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 36:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingDarkLord^
52% · 69 games46% · 105 games
BatriderNattyNarwhal
Batrider
Timbersaw
TimbersawMalr1ne
51% · 129 games43% · 101 game
BloodseekerMastery
Bloodseeker
Slardar
SlardarDominic
54% · 34 games47% · 56 games
Anti-Magenesfeer
Anti-Mage
Rubick
Rubickjesv
55% · 112 games45% · 134 games
Hoodwinkvelheor
Hoodwink
Bane
BanedSa
57% · 84 games52% · 32 games
OmniknightKidaro
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct33:15
YNT 57%X3 43%
The model gave 57% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 45:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingDarkLord^
50% · 130 games57% · 57 games
Shadow FiendNattyNarwhal
Shadow Fiend
Timbersaw
TimbersawDominic
48% · 92 games52% · 204 games
Ember Spiritnesfeer
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsMalr1ne
53% · 238 games30% · 41 game
UnderlordMastery
Underlord
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magejesv
46% · 24 games53% · 146 games
Rubickvelheor
Rubick
Omniknight
OmniknightdSa
48% · 30 games52% · 66 games
UndyingKidaro
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 62%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2