Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
KZ TEAMloss 0:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ssverhrazumwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KZ TEAM
Invokeroften banned
Nande · 4 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Nande · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Nande · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
Nande · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nande · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nande · 1 game
sverhrazum
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 370 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 578 bans
Mars
447 picks · 605 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 776 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Wraith King
287 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% sverhrazum
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesverhrazum · 55%
Series resultsverhrazum 0:1
Series predictioncorrect