BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 7 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 573 bans
Mars
446 picks · 601 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 546 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:27
T1 59%Yangon Galacticos 41%
The model gave 59% on T1 — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 59:44.
Game 2prediction missed9:34
T1 59%Yangon Galacticos 41%
The model gave 59% on T1 — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 59%
Accuracy by game0 of 2