Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vicious Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
No games played over 6 months.
Vicious Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
544 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 569 bans
Mars
446 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 173 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Vicious Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVicious Gaming · 53%
Series resultRavens 2:0
Series predictionmissed