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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
dSa · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 2 games
0%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
DarkLord^ · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
jesv · 1 game
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
dSa · 1 game
0%

No Sorry

Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 3 games
33%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Worick · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 2 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
544 picks · 373 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 572 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
446 picks · 607 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
430 picks · 782 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
363 picks · 171 bans
45%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 572 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
342 picks · 543 bans
53%
Wraith King
Wraith King
284 picks · 345 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:25
YNT 48%No Sorry 52%
The model gave 52% on No Sorry — the game was taken by YNT in 40:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMalr1ne
54% · 95 games60% · 124 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Lycan
LycanDominic
46% · 69 games52% · 114 games
Earth SpiritWorick
Earth Spirit
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerDarkLord^
43% · 78 games42% · 39 games
Skywrath Magey0nd
Skywrath Mage
Grimstroke
Grimstrokejesv
46% · 181 game54% · 208 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Jakiro
JakirodSa
43% · 62 games
Game 2prediction correct35:33
YNT 51%No Sorry 49%
The model gave 51% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 45:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingDarkLord^
59% · 143 games48% · 206 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Razor
RazorMalr1ne
52% · 114 games45% · 134 games
Legion CommanderLastHero-
Legion Commander
Mars
MarsDominic
55% · 264 games38% · 327 games
Grimstrokey0nd
Grimstroke
Phoenix
PhoenixdSa
51% · 115 games48% · 79 games
JakiroBLACKARXANGEL
Jakiro
Dark Willow
Dark Willowjesv
60% · 110 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 52%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2