Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO1
result vs prediction
KID+4loss 0:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Vicious Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KID+4
No games played over 6 months.
Vicious Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 375 bans
Queen of Pain
479 picks · 574 bans
Mars
446 picks · 615 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 803 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 547 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% KID+4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Vicious Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVicious Gaming · 58%
Series resultVicious Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect