Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mind Gamesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
548 picks · 377 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 574 bans
Mars
450 picks · 616 bans
Weaver
432 picks · 808 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 173 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 576 bans
Kunkka
343 picks · 548 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 58%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect