BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Polaris Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Tidehuntersignature
Enryu · 22 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 20 games
Marssignature
Enryu · 20 games
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 15 games
Queen of Painsignature
Mikoto · 15 games
Gyrocopter
Unknown- · 13 games
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Weaveroften banned
NARMAN · 12 games
Polaris Esports
Lionsignature
cml · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Force · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Force · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 10 games
Banesignature
cml · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 9 games
Mirana
Boomy · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
547 picks · 377 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 572 bans
Mars
450 picks · 616 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 809 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 172 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Kunkka
343 picks · 545 bans
Wraith King
283 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 80%
Hero pool strength54% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 57%
Series resultPolaris Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect