Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO1
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 1:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NENyGr Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
No games played over 6 months.
NyGr Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
548 picks · 374 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 570 bans
Mars
448 picks · 619 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 811 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 172 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 544 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 50%
Series resultRavens 1:0
Series predictioncorrect