Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gamesloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CHILLAXwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 382 bans
Queen of Pain
470 picks · 569 bans
Mars
452 picks · 625 bans
Weaver
435 picks · 818 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 545 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 574 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:46
Mind Games 66%CHILLAX 34%
The model gave 66% on Mind Games — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 45:32.
Game 2prediction missed28:20
Mind Games 66%CHILLAX 34%
The model gave 66% on Mind Games — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 38:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 66%
Series resultCHILLAX 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2