BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TOTeam Orcaloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Marssignature
Enryu · 20 games
Tidehuntersignature
Enryu · 20 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 19 games
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 15 games
Queen of Painsignature
Mikoto · 14 games
Gyrocopter
Unknown- · 13 games
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Weaveroften banned
NARMAN · 12 games
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
469 picks · 570 bans
Mars
456 picks · 630 bans
Weaver
436 picks · 823 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
345 picks · 544 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:23
Neon Esports 56%Team Orca 44%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 39:47.
Game 2prediction missed12:30
Neon Esports 56%Team Orca 44%
The model gave 56% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Team Orca in 31:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2