BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
T1win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 13 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Q · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 384 bans
Queen of Pain
468 picks · 568 bans
Mars
455 picks · 629 bans
Weaver
436 picks · 821 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
343 picks · 543 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 339 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total79% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 79%
Series resultT1 0:2
Series predictioncorrect