Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка. Финал · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 389 bans
Mars
452 picks · 651 bans
Queen of Pain
452 picks · 551 bans
Weaver
434 picks · 849 bans
Snapfire
352 picks · 183 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 559 bans
Kunkka
339 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Quincy Crew
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total52% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:29
Quincy Crew 52%4 Zoomers 48%
The model gave 52% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 35:11.
Game 2prediction missed26:37
Quincy Crew 52%4 Zoomers 48%
The model gave 52% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 39:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 52%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2