BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 388 bans
Mars
451 picks · 649 bans
Queen of Pain
448 picks · 544 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 849 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 181 bans
Spirit Breaker
346 picks · 550 bans
Kunkka
339 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 43%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 70%
Series resultLava 0:2
Series predictionmissed