BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TOTeam Orcawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 388 bans
Mars
450 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
450 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
433 picks · 849 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 181 bans
Spirit Breaker
348 picks · 550 bans
Kunkka
339 picks · 543 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 68%
Series resultTeam Orca 0:2
Series predictionmissed