Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO5
result vs prediction
Entityloss 2:3series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:3
HellRaiserswin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
537 picks · 384 bans
Mars
446 picks · 651 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 537 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 842 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 543 bans
Kunkka
336 picks · 542 bans
Wraith King
273 picks · 313 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Entity
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:53
Entity 72%HellRaisers 28%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 48:33.
Game 2prediction missed22:12
Entity 72%HellRaisers 28%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 23:09.
Game 3prediction missed24:13
Entity 72%HellRaisers 28%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 33:24.
Game 4prediction missed25:12
Entity 72%HellRaisers 28%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 29:06.
Game 5prediction missed42:39
Entity 72%HellRaisers 28%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 52:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 72%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 5