Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 16 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
Banesignature
tOfu · 14 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 13 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 11 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
Queen of Painsignature
BOOM · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 8 games
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
537 picks · 383 bans
Mars
445 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 536 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 842 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 542 bans
Kunkka
336 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 65%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:35
Gaimin Gladiators 61%HellRaisers 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 41:27.
Game 2prediction missed6:19
Gaimin Gladiators 61%HellRaisers 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 23:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 61%
Series resultHellRaisers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2