Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 16 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
Banesignature
tOfu · 14 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 12 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 10 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
Queen of Painsignature
BOOM · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
BOOM · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 383 bans
Mars
449 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 530 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 843 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 539 bans
Kunkka
335 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
274 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 70%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:37
Entity 59%Gaimin Gladiators 41%
The model gave 59% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 43:03.
Game 2prediction missed23:42
Entity 59%Gaimin Gladiators 41%
The model gave 59% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 47:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 59%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2