Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 27 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 26 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 25 games
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 25 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Rubick
Heaven · 21 game
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 381 bans
Mars
449 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
444 picks · 532 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
345 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 538 bans
Kunkka
334 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total55% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:29
HellRaisers 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:28.
Game 2prediction missed15:34
HellRaisers 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 31:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 55%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2