BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Linaoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 12 games
Bane
RR · 9 games
Batridersignature
Bob · 9 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 9 games
Tiny
Tino- · 9 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Tino- · 8 games
Pangolieroften banned
RR · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 379 bans
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
Queen of Pain
442 picks · 531 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
345 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
339 picks · 537 bans
Kunkka
334 picks · 538 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% T1
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total67% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 67%