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BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team DogChamploss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The Cut

Mars
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Giant · 7 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
80%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
dnm · 3 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Giant · 2 games
100%

Team DogChamp

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 4 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 4 games
100%
Lion
Lion
yarintheslayer · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Bloody Nine · 3 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Bloody Nine · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
539 picks · 379 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
442 picks · 531 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
427 picks · 844 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
345 picks · 178 bans
44%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
339 picks · 537 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
334 picks · 538 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
275 picks · 310 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% The Cut
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total61% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 61%