Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V-Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 35 games
Linaoften banned
hAze · 29 games
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 28 games
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 26 games
Invokersignature
hAze · 25 games
Banesignature
antoha · 24 games
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
Marsoften banned
laise · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 379 bans
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
Queen of Pain
438 picks · 533 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
348 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
337 picks · 535 bans
Kunkka
333 picks · 538 bans
Wraith King
273 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total57% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:38
HellRaisers 57%V-Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 37:12.
Game 2prediction missed33:12
HellRaisers 57%V-Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 26:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 57%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2