Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка. Финал · BO3
result vs prediction
King Of Kingsloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 380 bans
Mars
453 picks · 646 bans
Queen of Pain
431 picks · 521 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 850 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 179 bans
Kunkka
332 picks · 531 bans
Spirit Breaker
332 picks · 527 bans
Wraith King
271 picks · 304 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 57%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:39
King Of Kings 31%Infamous 69%
The model gave 69% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 52:58.
Game 2prediction correct32:9
King Of Kings 31%Infamous 69%
The model gave 69% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 28:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 69%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2